Paper trading only — quarter-Kelly stakes on model value bets, no real money involved.
Current bankroll
$1009.13
$9.24 cash + $999.89 pending · 0.9% vs $1000 start
ROI (settled bets)
11.9%
$9.13 profit on $76.98 staked
Win / loss ratio
0.40
2W – 5L · 28.6% win rate
Avg CLV
+5.2%
positive = beating the closing line
7 settled bets · rolling +5.2% · cumulative +5.2%
| Kickoff | Match | Pick | Model odds | Book odds | Bookmaker | Edge | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 UTC | SV 07 Elversberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Home win | 2.64 | 3.30 | Unibet (SE) | +7.4% | $10.00 |
| 20:05 UTC | Lille vs Racing Club de Lens | Away win | 2.30 | 2.82 | Betfair | +8.3% | $1.16 |
| 12:30 UTC | Chelsea vs Man Utd | Away win | 2.44 | 4.42 | Coolbet | +17.8% | $18.47 |
| 14:30 UTC | Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 | Home win | 1.81 | 2.06 | Betfair | +7.0% | $1.36 |
| 14:30 UTC | FC Schalke 04 vs Leipzig | Away win | 1.72 | 1.93 | Unibet (SE) | +7.0% | $2.88 |
| 14:30 UTC | FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg | Home win | 2.74 | 3.20 | Matchbook | +5.2% | $7.08 |
| 14:30 UTC | SV Werder Bremen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Home win | 2.05 | 3.10 | Unibet (SE) | +15.6% | $18.47 |
| 14:30 UTC | Leverkusen vs Stuttgart | Home win | 1.72 | 1.87 | Betfair | +5.3% | $9.52 |
| 15:00 UTC | Coventry City FC vs Sunderland AFC | Home win | 2.62 | 3.30 | Matchbook | +7.2% | $1.18 |
| 15:00 UTC | Brentford FC vs Nottingham Forest FC | Away win | 2.13 | 3.70 | Matchbook | +19.9% | $18.47 |
| 15:00 UTC | AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United FC | Home win | 1.80 | 2.19 | Pinnacle | +10.4% | $16.79 |
| 15:00 UTC | Man City vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC | Away win | 3.21 | 5.03 | 1xBet | +10.7% | $12.98 |
| 15:00 UTC | Hull City AFC vs Ipswich Town FC | Home win | 2.33 | 2.78 | Matchbook | +6.7% | $10.07 |
| 15:15 UTC | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo | Home win | 2.00 | 2.54 | Betfair | +10.3% | $1.66 |
| 17:00 UTC | Udinese Calcio vs Roma | Away win | 1.18 | 1.63 | 1xBet | +24.5% | $18.47 |
| 17:30 UTC | Tottenham vs Crystal Palace FC | Away win | 4.10 | 6.00 | Matchbook | +7.3% | $8.56 |
| 19:45 UTC | Milan vs Inter | Home win | 2.96 | 3.50 | Tipico | +5.2% | $6.70 |
| 20:00 UTC | Aston Villa vs Fulham FC | Home win | 1.87 | 2.10 | Matchbook | +5.8% | $10.44 |
| 13:00 UTC | Getafe CF vs Sevilla | Away win | 2.12 | 2.66 | Matchbook | +9.0% | $1.43 |
| 14:00 UTC | Lazio vs Cagliari Calcio | Away win | 4.82 | 8.80 | Betfair | +7.9% | $2.35 |
| 14:00 UTC | Frosinone Calcio vs Torino FC | Away win | 2.00 | 3.11 | 1xBet | +18.2% | $18.47 |
| 14:30 UTC | Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln | Home win | 2.24 | 2.58 | Matchbook | +6.6% | $8.85 |
| 16:15 UTC | Paris vs Monaco | Home win | 1.48 | 2.39 | 1xBet | +26.2% | $1.88 |
| 16:30 UTC | Liverpool vs Arsenal | Away win | 1.86 | 2.40 | Unibet (SE) | +12.3% | $18.47 |
| 17:00 UTC | US Lecce vs Genoa CFC | Home win | 2.36 | 2.88 | Unibet (SE) | +7.8% | $10.94 |
| 19:45 UTC | Marseille vs Toulouse FC | Away win | 2.28 | 3.85 | LeoVegas (SE) | +17.7% | $1.88 |
| 19:45 UTC | Juventus vs Napoli | Home win | 2.09 | 2.36 | Betfair | +5.8% | $1.02 |
| 20:00 UTC | Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad | Home win | 1.81 | 2.26 | Matchbook | +10.1% | $1.85 |
| 19:45 UTC | Atalanta vs Parma Calcio 1913 | Away win | 5.18 | 7.20 | Betfair | +5.1% | $5.82 |
| 20:00 UTC | RC Deportivo La Coruña vs CA Osasuna | Home win | 2.01 | 2.28 | Matchbook | +5.9% | $1.00 |
| 20:00 UTC | Newcastle United FC vs Everton FC | Away win | 2.03 | 3.10 | Matchbook | +17.3% | $18.47 |
| 17:45 UTC | Shakhtar vs Sporting CP | Draw | 3.18 | 4.10 | Winamax (DE) | +6.4% | $2.07 |
| 17:45 UTC | Galatasaray vs Stuttgart | Away win | 2.39 | 2.93 | 1xBet | +8.3% | $29.57 |
| 17:45 UTC | Shakhtar vs Sporting CP | Home win | 2.87 | 3.90 | 1xBet | +8.9% | $30.76 |
| 20:00 UTC | Villarreal vs Paris | Home win | 3.84 | 5.10 | Unibet (SE) | +6.1% | $1.78 |
| 20:00 UTC | Feyenoord vs Inter | Away win | 1.61 | 1.75 | 1xBet | +6.4% | $2.63 |
| 20:00 UTC | Villarreal vs Paris | Away win | 1.20 | 1.68 | Betfair | +24.4% | $50.00 |
| 20:00 UTC | Bodø/Glimt vs Lille | Home win | 1.51 | 1.94 | Codere (IT) | +15.6% | $50.00 |
| 20:00 UTC | Feyenoord vs Inter | Home win | 3.17 | 4.60 | Unibet (SE) | +9.8% | $31.34 |
| 20:00 UTC | Man Utd vs Roma | Home win | 1.86 | 2.40 | Betfair | +12.7% | $50.00 |
| 20:00 UTC | Atleti vs Bayern München | Home win | 2.85 | 3.43 | 1xBet | +6.0% | $20.80 |
| 20:00 UTC | Barcelona vs Aston Villa | Away win | 2.19 | 12.00 | Nordic Bet | +36.3% | $50.00 |
| 20:00 UTC | Barcelona vs Aston Villa | Draw | 4.96 | 7.80 | Betfair | +6.6% | $21.08 |
| 17:45 UTC | AEK Athens vs Real Madrid | Draw | 4.49 | 6.80 | Betfair | +5.9% | $8.18 |
| 17:45 UTC | AEK Athens vs Real Madrid | Home win | 2.88 | 9.40 | Betfair | +22.9% | $18.47 |
| 17:45 UTC | Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool | Home win | 2.53 | 5.05 | Nordic Bet | +19.3% | $18.47 |
| 17:45 UTC | AEK Athens vs Real Madrid | Away win | 1.02 | 1.37 | 1xBet | +26.6% | $50.00 |
| 17:45 UTC | Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool | Away win | 1.50 | 1.69 | 1xBet | +9.0% | $45.79 |
| 20:00 UTC | Viking vs Sabah | Away win | 3.31 | 6.40 | Unibet (SE) | +14.0% | $3.86 |
| 20:00 UTC | Porto vs Napoli | Away win | 2.52 | 3.35 | Unibet (NL) | +9.8% | $3.13 |
| 20:00 UTC | Lens vs Como | Home win | 2.16 | 3.10 | Matchbook | +14.0% | $4.45 |
| 20:00 UTC | Slavia Praha vs Arsenal | Draw | 4.04 | 6.22 | 1xBet | +7.8% | $2.31 |
| 20:00 UTC | Slavia Praha vs Arsenal | Home win | 5.02 | 10.50 | Unibet (SE) | +9.1% | $2.56 |
| 20:00 UTC | Viking vs Sabah | Home win | 1.17 | 1.55 | GTbets | +22.2% | $50.00 |
| 20:00 UTC | Lens vs Como | Away win | 1.31 | 2.35 | 1xBet | +33.4% | $50.00 |
| 20:00 UTC | Slavia Praha vs Arsenal | Away win | 1.15 | 1.33 | 1xBet | +14.1% | $50.00 |
| 20:00 UTC | Leipzig vs Man City | Home win | 3.84 | 5.45 | Nordic Bet | +7.6% | $23.61 |
| 20:00 UTC | Porto vs Napoli | Home win | 2.01 | 2.30 | Betfair | +6.2% | $27.56 |
| 19:45 UTC | Toulouse FC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace | Home win | 1.56 | 2.08 | Betfair | +17.4% | $1.88 |
| 12:30 UTC | Leeds United FC vs Tottenham | Home win | 2.25 | 2.72 | Betfair | +7.8% | $2.73 |
| 14:30 UTC | 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München | Away win | 1.43 | 1.51 | 1xBet | +5.1% | $1.23 |
| 14:30 UTC | Borussia Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg | Home win | 1.27 | 1.33 | Unibet (SE) | +5.4% | $3.12 |
| 15:15 UTC | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs RC Deportivo La Coruña | Away win | 2.69 | 3.40 | Betfair | +8.5% | $1.02 |
| 16:15 UTC | AJ Auxerre vs Paris | Away win | 1.47 | 2.05 | 1xBet | +19.7% | $1.88 |
| 17:30 UTC | Nottingham Forest FC vs Man City | Home win | 3.58 | 5.13 | 1xBet | +8.1% | $2.34 |
| 14:00 UTC | Crystal Palace FC vs Liverpool | Home win | 3.31 | 4.75 | Unibet (SE) | +8.6% | $1.23 |
| 14:00 UTC | Ipswich Town FC vs AFC Bournemouth | Away win | 1.54 | 2.02 | 1xBet | +16.2% | $4.45 |
| 14:00 UTC | Sunderland AFC vs Chelsea | Home win | 2.99 | 3.51 | 1xBet | +5.0% | $1.53 |
| 16:15 UTC | Angers SCO vs Nice | Home win | 2.27 | 3.54 | 1xBet | +15.5% | $1.88 |
| 16:15 UTC | Brest vs Lyon | Home win | 2.24 | 3.04 | 1xBet | +11.7% | $1.64 |
| 16:15 UTC | Le Mans FC vs Monaco | Home win | 2.88 | 4.41 | 1xBet | +12.0% | $1.47 |
| 17:30 UTC | Villarreal vs Getafe CF | Home win | 1.31 | 1.55 | 1xBet | +13.0% | $1.88 |
| 17:30 UTC | RC Celta de Vigo vs Levante UD | Away win | 3.02 | 4.52 | 1xBet | +10.9% | $1.32 |
| 18:30 UTC | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 | Home win | 1.50 | 1.65 | 1xBet | +10.1% | $3.30 |
| 19:45 UTC | Racing Club de Lens vs Marseille | Home win | 1.54 | 2.14 | Unibet (SE) | +19.1% | $1.88 |