Ligue 1 · Matchday 9 · 31 Oct – 2 Nov
Home/Away win > 62% or Over 2.5 > 70%
Sun 1 Nov
16:15 UTC
Home win 67%
Most likely 2–0 (12%) · xG 2.13–0.84
Home win · Lyon
Model
66.8%
Bookie
68.1%
Edge
-1.4%
Consensus of 22 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.1%)
draw edge ≥ 3 pp · xG total ≤ 2.5 · both defences ≤ 1 · Dixon-Coles ρ -0.038
None of the 7 priced fixtures fits: no tight, defensive matchup where the model rates the draw clearly above the market.
19:45 UTC
ES Troyes AC
Le Mans FC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.43–1.62
Away win · Le Mans FC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
| 3 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 15 |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 |
Model
41.7%
Bookie
31.9%
Edge
+9.8%
Consensus of 22 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.4%)
14:00 UTC
RC Strasbourg Alsace
AJ Auxerre
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.72–1.12
Home win · RC Strasbourg Alsace
Model
51.1%
Bookie
52.3%
Edge
-1.2%
Consensus of 22 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.3%)
16:15 UTC
Paris
Monaco
Likely 1–1 · xG 2.05–1.31
Home win · Paris
Model
54.2%
Bookie
41.4%
Edge
+12.8%
Consensus of 22 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.3%)
19:45 UTC
Marseille
Toulouse FC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.94–1.20
Home win · Marseille
Model
54.0%
Bookie
50.0%
Edge
+4.0%
Consensus of 22 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.3%)
19:45 UTC
FC Lorient
Brest
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.50–1.29
Home win · FC Lorient
Model
41.9%
Bookie
38.8%
Edge
+3.1%
Consensus of 20 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 11 |
| 7 |
| +4 |
| 15 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 14 |
|---|
| 6 | Paris | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 14 |
|---|
| 7 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
|---|
| 8 | Racing Club de Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 13 |
|---|
| 9 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 12 |
|---|
| 10 | FC Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 12 |
|---|
| 11 | Toulouse FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 10 |
|---|
| 12 | AJ Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10 |
|---|
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 9 |
|---|
| 14 | Angers SCO | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
|---|
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
|---|
| 16 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
|---|
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 5 |
|---|
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 2 |
|---|