All competitions · next fixtures · 31 Oct – 4 Nov
Home/Away win > 62% or Over 2.5 > 70%
Tue 3 Nov
20:00 UTC
Home win 64% · Over 2.5 82%
Most likely 2–1 (8%) · xG 2.87–1.58
No bookmaker odds collected for this fixture yet.
Sun 1 Nov
15:15 UTC
Away win 76% · Over 2.5 81%
Most likely 1–3 (8%) · xG 1.17–3.17
Away win · Real Madrid
Model
76.3%
Bookie
Sat 31 Oct
20:00 UTC
Home win 79% · Over 2.5 71%
Most likely 2–0 (10%) · xG 2.86–0.83
Home win · Barcelona
Model
78.7%
Bookie
Wed 4 Nov
20:00 UTC
Over 2.5 77%
Most likely 2–1 (8%) · xG 2.36–1.66
Home win · PSV
Model
53.2%
Bookie
44.8%
Sat 31 Oct
17:30 UTC
Home win 67% · Over 2.5 75%
Most likely 2–1 (9%) · xG 2.66–1.25
Home win · Bayern München
Model
67.2%
Bookie
Tue 3 Nov
20:00 UTC
Home win 67% · Over 2.5 74%
Most likely 2–1 (9%) · xG 2.64–1.24
Home win · Barcelona
Model
67.1%
Bookie
Sat 31 Oct
17:30 UTC
Home win 74%
Most likely 2–0 (13%) · xG 2.32–0.68
Home win · Real Betis Balompié
Model
74.0%
Bookie
70.7%
Wed 4 Nov
20:00 UTC
Over 2.5 74%
Most likely 2–1 (9%) · xG 2.21–1.63
Home win · Viking
Model
50.8%
Bookie
64.1%
Sun 1 Nov
11:30 UTC
Home win 72%
Most likely 2–0 (12%) · xG 2.37–0.80
Home win · Como
Model
72.1%
Bookie
73.1%
Mon 2 Nov
19:45 UTC
Home win 67%
Most likely 2–0 (12%) · xG 2.14–0.83
Home win · Atalanta
Model
67.0%
Bookie
64.1%
Sun 1 Nov
16:15 UTC
Home win 67%
Most likely 2–0 (12%) · xG 2.13–0.84
Home win · Lyon
Model
66.8%
Bookie
68.1%
Wed 4 Nov
20:00 UTC
Away win 65%
Most likely 0–2 (12%) · xG 0.82–2.03
Away win · Arsenal
Model
65.3%
Bookie
71.9%
draw edge ≥ 3 pp · xG total ≤ 2.5 · both defences ≤ 1 · Dixon-Coles ρ -0.038
None of the 63 priced fixtures fits: no tight, defensive matchup where the model rates the draw clearly above the market.
12:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea
Man Utd
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.90–1.39
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 |
78.6%
Edge
-2.3%
Over 2.5 goals
Model
80.8%
Bookie
78.9%
Edge
+1.8%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
86.1%
Edge
-7.4%
Over 2.5 goals
Model
71.4%
Bookie
78.7%
Edge
-7.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
Edge
+8.4%
Over 2.5 goals
Model
76.5%
Bookie
69.5%
Edge
+7.0%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
71.2%
Edge
-4.0%
Over 2.5 goals
Model
74.8%
Bookie
75.9%
Edge
-1.1%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.2%)
76.7%
Edge
-9.6%
Over 2.5 goals
Model
74.4%
Bookie
78.7%
Edge
-4.3%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.8%)
Edge
+3.3%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
Edge
-13.3%
Over 2.5 goals
Model
73.8%
Bookie
66.4%
Edge
+7.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
Edge
-1.0%
Consensus of 24 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
Edge
+2.9%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.5%)
Edge
-1.3%
Consensus of 22 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.1%)
Edge
-6.6%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
Home win · Chelsea
Model
49.0%
Bookie
52.2%
Edge
-3.2%
Consensus of 25 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.7%)
13:00 UTC La Liga
Levante UD
Club Atlético de Madrid
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.36–1.86
Away win · Club Atlético de Madrid
Model
48.9%
Bookie
61.0%
Edge
-12.1%
Consensus of 20 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna
AC Monza
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.88–0.95
Home win · Bologna
Model
58.7%
Bookie
55.6%
Edge
+3.1%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.1%)
14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
SC Paderborn 07
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.79–1.00
Home win · Borussia Mönchengladbach
Model
55.5%
Bookie
48.1%
Edge
+7.4%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.1%)
14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04
Leipzig
Likely 1–1 · xG 0.98–1.80
Away win · Leipzig
Model
56.3%
Bookie
51.8%
Edge
+4.5%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.51–1.47
Home win · FC Augsburg
Model
38.3%
Bookie
31.5%
Edge
+6.8%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.1%)
14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.69–1.59
Home win · SV Werder Bremen
Model
40.2%
Bookie
33.5%
Edge
+6.7%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Leverkusen
Stuttgart
Likely 2–1 · xG 2.12–1.36
Home win · Leverkusen
Model
54.6%
Bookie
53.3%
Edge
+1.3%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.2%)
15:00 UTC Premier League
Man City
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Likely 2–1 · xG 2.13–1.13
Home win · Man City
Model
59.9%
Bookie
58.4%
Edge
+1.5%
Consensus of 25 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.7%)
15:00 UTC Premier League
AFC Bournemouth
Leeds United FC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.71–1.27
Home win · AFC Bournemouth
Model
47.4%
Bookie
44.9%
Edge
+2.5%
Consensus of 25 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.6%)
15:00 UTC Premier League
Coventry City FC
Sunderland AFC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.01–1.20
Away win · Sunderland AFC
Model
39.9%
Bookie
40.8%
Edge
-0.9%
Consensus of 25 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.8%)
15:00 UTC Premier League
Hull City AFC
Ipswich Town FC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.69–1.06
Home win · Hull City AFC
Model
51.6%
Bookie
36.3%
Edge
+15.4%
Consensus of 25 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.6%)
15:00 UTC Premier League
Brentford FC
Nottingham Forest FC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.72–1.20
Home win · Brentford FC
Model
49.2%
Bookie
46.4%
Edge
+2.7%
Consensus of 25 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.8%)
15:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
RC Celta de Vigo
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.38–1.08
Home win · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Model
43.2%
Bookie
39.8%
Edge
+3.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.8%)
17:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese Calcio
Roma
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.01–1.79
Away win · Roma
Model
55.2%
Bookie
61.5%
Edge
-6.3%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
17:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham
Crystal Palace FC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.68–1.31
Home win · Tottenham
Model
45.9%
Bookie
61.6%
Edge
-15.8%
Consensus of 25 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.7%)
19:45 UTC Serie A
Milan
Inter
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.31–1.69
Away win · Inter
Model
45.9%
Bookie
47.4%
Edge
-1.6%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
19:45 UTC Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC
Le Mans FC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.43–1.62
Away win · Le Mans FC
Model
41.7%
Bookie
31.9%
Edge
+9.8%
Consensus of 22 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.4%)
20:00 UTC Premier League
Aston Villa
Fulham FC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.70–1.15
Home win · Aston Villa
Model
49.8%
Bookie
48.7%
Edge
+1.1%
Consensus of 25 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.7%)
13:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe CF
Sevilla
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.08–0.94
Home win · Getafe CF
Model
37.7%
Bookie
30.2%
Edge
+7.5%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
14:00 UTC Serie A
Frosinone Calcio
Torino FC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.78–1.53
Home win · Frosinone Calcio
Model
43.5%
Bookie
44.1%
Edge
14:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio
Cagliari Calcio
Likely 1–0 · xG 1.80–0.92
Home win · Lazio
Model
57.8%
Bookie
65.7%
Edge
-7.9%
14:00 UTC Ligue 1
RC Strasbourg Alsace
AJ Auxerre
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.72–1.11
Home win · RC Strasbourg Alsace
Model
51.2%
Bookie
52.3%
Edge
14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.52–1.11
Home win · Union Berlin
Model
46.3%
Bookie
37.0%
Edge
+9.3%
16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris
Monaco
Likely 1–1 · xG 2.05–1.31
Home win · Paris
Model
54.2%
Bookie
41.4%
Edge
+12.8%
16:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool
Arsenal
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.28–1.44
Away win · Arsenal
Model
40.4%
Bookie
40.1%
Edge
16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV
Likely 2–1 · xG 2.10–1.10
Home win · Eintracht Frankfurt
Model
59.9%
Bookie
59.5%
Edge
17:00 UTC Serie A
US Lecce
Genoa CFC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.04–1.19
Away win · Genoa CFC
Model
38.8%
Bookie
39.4%
Edge
-0.6%
17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche CF
Valencia CF
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.47–1.21
Home win · Elche CF
Model
42.8%
Bookie
40.5%
Edge
+2.4%
19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus
Napoli
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.34–1.08
Home win · Juventus
Model
42.2%
Bookie
42.0%
Edge
+0.1%
19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille
Toulouse FC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.94–1.20
Home win · Marseille
Model
54.1%
Bookie
50.0%
Edge
20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.59–1.04
Home win · Athletic Club
Model
49.8%
Bookie
45.1%
Edge
+4.7%
17:30 UTC Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio
ACF Fiorentina
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.45–1.57
Away win · ACF Fiorentina
Model
40.2%
Bookie
40.2%
Edge
+0.1%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.2%)
19:45 UTC Ligue 1
FC Lorient
Brest
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.50–1.28
Home win · FC Lorient
Model
41.9%
Bookie
38.8%
Edge
+3.1%
20:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle United FC
Everton FC
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.69–1.12
Home win · Newcastle United FC
Model
50.3%
Bookie
41.2%
Edge
20:00 UTC La Liga
RC Deportivo La Coruña
CA Osasuna
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.48–1.09
Home win · RC Deportivo La Coruña
Model
45.6%
Bookie
43.9%
Edge
+1.7%
17:45 UTC Champions League
Shakhtar
Sporting CP
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.12–1.19
Away win · Sporting CP
Model
37.1%
Bookie
48.8%
Edge
-11.8%
Consensus of 20 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
17:45 UTC Champions League
Galatasaray
Stuttgart
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.79–1.65
Home win · Galatasaray
Model
41.2%
Bookie
43.0%
Edge
20:00 UTC Champions League
Atleti
Bayern München
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.63–1.84
Away win · Bayern München
Model
42.8%
Bookie
47.7%
Edge
20:00 UTC Champions League
Man Utd
Roma
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.75–1.27
Home win · Man Utd
Model
48.3%
Bookie
40.7%
Edge
+7.6%
20:00 UTC Champions League
Feyenoord
Inter
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.38–2.01
Away win · Inter
Model
51.9%
Bookie
56.0%
Edge
20:00 UTC Champions League
Bodø/Glimt
Lille
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.97–1.44
Home win · Bodø/Glimt
Model
49.6%
Bookie
51.2%
Edge
20:00 UTC Champions League
Villarreal
Paris
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.79–1.80
Away win · Paris
Model
38.8%
Bookie
59.2%
Edge
17:45 UTC Champions League
Fenerbahçe
Liverpool
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.20–1.63
Away win · Liverpool
Model
47.1%
Bookie
58.5%
Edge
-11.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.1%)
17:45 UTC Champions League
AEK Athens
Real Madrid
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.32–1.75
Away win · Real Madrid
Model
47.1%
Bookie
72.5%
Edge
20:00 UTC Champions League
B. Dortmund
Real Betis
Likely 1–1 · xG 2.05–1.27
No bookmaker odds collected for this fixture yet.
20:00 UTC Champions League
Porto
Napoli
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.29–1.17
Home win · Porto
Model
38.8%
Bookie
43.6%
Edge
-4.8%
20:00 UTC Champions League
Leipzig
Man City
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.36–1.87
Away win · Man City
Model
49.1%
Bookie
61.5%
Edge
20:00 UTC Champions League
Lens
Como
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.73–1.25
Home win · Lens
Model
48.3%
Bookie
32.3%
Edge
+16.1%
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 10 |
| 5 |
| +5 |
| 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
|---|
| 6 | Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
|---|
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
|---|
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 6 |
|---|
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 6 |
|---|
| 10 | Man City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
|---|
| 11 | Club Brugge | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 6 |
|---|
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
|---|
| 13 | B. Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
|---|
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 5 |
|---|
| 15 | Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 4 |
|---|
| 16 | Atleti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 |
|---|
| 17 | Shakhtar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 |
|---|
| 18 | PSV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
|---|
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
|---|
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
|---|
| 20 | Man Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
|---|
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
|---|
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
|---|
| 24 | LASK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
|---|
| 25 | Sabah | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
|---|
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
|---|
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
|---|
| 28 | Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
|---|
| 29 | AEK Athens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
|---|
| 29 | Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
|---|
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
|---|
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
|---|
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
|---|
| 34 | Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
|---|
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
|---|
| 36 | S. Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 |
|---|
-0.5%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.1%)
Consensus of 24 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
-1.2%
Consensus of 22 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.3%)
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.2%)
Consensus of 22 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.3%)
+0.3%
Consensus of 25 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.7%)
+0.4%
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.3%)
Consensus of 23 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
Consensus of 24 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
+4.1%
Consensus of 22 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.3%)
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
Consensus of 20 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
+9.1%
Consensus of 25 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.7%)
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.4%)
-1.8%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
-4.9%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.2%)
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
-4.1%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
-1.6%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
-20.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.8%)
-25.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.8%)
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
-12.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)