Champions League · next fixtures · 3 Nov – 4 Nov
Home/Away win > 62% or Over 2.5 > 70%
Tue 3 Nov
20:00 UTC
Home win 64% · Over 2.5 82%
Most likely 2–1 (8%) · xG 2.87–1.58
No bookmaker odds collected for this fixture yet.
Wed 4 Nov
20:00 UTC
Over 2.5 77%
Most likely 2–1 (8%) · xG 2.36–1.66
Home win · PSV
Model
53.2%
Bookie
44.8%
Edge
+8.4%
Tue 3 Nov
20:00 UTC
Home win 67% · Over 2.5 74%
Most likely 2–1 (9%) · xG 2.64–1.24
Home win · Barcelona
Model
67.1%
Bookie
76.7%
Edge
-9.6%
Wed 4 Nov
20:00 UTC
Over 2.5 74%
Most likely 2–1 (9%) · xG 2.21–1.63
Home win · Viking
Model
50.8%
Bookie
64.1%
Edge
-13.3%
Wed 4 Nov
20:00 UTC
Away win 65%
Most likely 0–2 (12%) · xG 0.82–2.03
Away win · Arsenal
Model
65.3%
Bookie
71.9%
Edge
-6.5%
draw edge ≥ 3 pp · xG total ≤ 2.5 · both defences ≤ 1 · Dixon-Coles ρ -0.038
None of the 16 priced fixtures fits: no tight, defensive matchup where the model rates the draw clearly above the market.
17:45 UTC
Shakhtar
Sporting CP
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.12–1.19
Away win · Sporting CP
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 |
Over 2.5 goals
Model
76.5%
Bookie
69.5%
Edge
+7.0%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
Over 2.5 goals
Model
74.4%
Bookie
78.7%
Edge
-4.3%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.8%)
Over 2.5 goals
Model
73.8%
Bookie
66.4%
Edge
+7.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
Model
37.1%
Bookie
48.8%
Edge
-11.8%
Consensus of 20 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
17:45 UTC
Galatasaray
Stuttgart
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.79–1.65
Home win · Galatasaray
Model
41.2%
Bookie
43.0%
Edge
-1.8%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
20:00 UTC
Atleti
Bayern München
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.63–1.84
Away win · Bayern München
Model
42.8%
Bookie
47.7%
Edge
-4.9%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.2%)
20:00 UTC
Man Utd
Roma
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.75–1.27
Home win · Man Utd
Model
48.3%
Bookie
40.7%
Edge
+7.6%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
20:00 UTC
Feyenoord
Inter
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.38–2.01
Away win · Inter
Model
51.9%
Bookie
56.0%
Edge
-4.1%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
20:00 UTC
Bodø/Glimt
Lille
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.97–1.44
Home win · Bodø/Glimt
Model
49.6%
Bookie
51.2%
Edge
-1.6%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
20:00 UTC
Villarreal
Paris
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.79–1.80
Away win · Paris
Model
38.8%
Bookie
59.2%
Edge
-20.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.8%)
17:45 UTC
Fenerbahçe
Liverpool
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.20–1.63
Away win · Liverpool
Model
47.1%
Bookie
58.5%
Edge
-11.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.1%)
17:45 UTC
AEK Athens
Real Madrid
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.32–1.75
Away win · Real Madrid
Model
47.1%
Bookie
72.5%
Edge
-25.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.8%)
20:00 UTC
B. Dortmund
Real Betis
Likely 1–1 · xG 2.05–1.27
No bookmaker odds collected for this fixture yet.
20:00 UTC
Porto
Napoli
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.29–1.17
Home win · Porto
Model
38.8%
Bookie
43.6%
Edge
-4.8%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
20:00 UTC
Leipzig
Man City
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.36–1.87
Away win · Man City
Model
49.1%
Bookie
61.5%
Edge
-12.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
20:00 UTC
Lens
Como
Likely 1–1 · xG 1.73–1.25
Home win · Lens
Model
48.3%
Bookie
32.3%
Edge
+16.1%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 10 |
| 5 |
| +5 |
| 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
|---|
| 6 | Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
|---|
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
|---|
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 6 |
|---|
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 6 |
|---|
| 10 | Man City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
|---|
| 11 | Club Brugge | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 6 |
|---|
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
|---|
| 13 | B. Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
|---|
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 5 |
|---|
| 15 | Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 4 |
|---|
| 16 | Atleti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 |
|---|
| 17 | Shakhtar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 |
|---|
| 18 | PSV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
|---|
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
|---|
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
|---|
| 20 | Man Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
|---|
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
|---|
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
|---|
| 24 | LASK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
|---|
| 25 | Sabah | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
|---|
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
|---|
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
|---|
| 28 | Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
|---|
| 29 | AEK Athens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
|---|
| 29 | Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
|---|
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 2 |
|---|
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
|---|
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
|---|
| 34 | Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 |
|---|
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
|---|
| 36 | S. Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 0 |
|---|