La Liga · Matchday 11 · 31 Oct â 2 Nov
Home/Away win > 62% or Over 2.5 > 70%
Sun 1 Nov
15:15 UTC
Away win 76% · Over 2.5 81%
Most likely 1â3 (8%) · xG 1.17â3.17
Away win · Real Madrid
Model
76.3%
Bookie
78.6%
Edge
-2.3%
Over 2.5 goals
Model
80.8%
Bookie
78.9%
Edge
+1.8%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
Sat 31 Oct
20:00 UTC
Home win 79% · Over 2.5 71%
Most likely 2â0 (10%) · xG 2.86â0.83
Home win · Barcelona
Model
78.7%
Bookie
86.1%
Edge
-7.4%
Sat 31 Oct
17:30 UTC
Home win 74%
Most likely 2â0 (13%) · xG 2.32â0.68
Home win · Real Betis Balompié
Model
74.0%
Bookie
70.7%
Edge
+3.3%
draw edge â„ 3 pp · xG total †2.5 · both defences †1 · Dixon-Coles Ï -0.038
None of the 10 priced fixtures fits: no tight, defensive matchup where the model rates the draw clearly above the market.
13:00 UTC
Levante UD
Club Atlético de Madrid
Likely 1â1 · xG 1.36â1.86
Away win · Club Atlético de Madrid
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | +29 | 27 |
| 2 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | +15 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié |
Over 2.5 goals
Model
71.4%
Bookie
78.7%
Edge
-7.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
Model
48.9%
Bookie
61.0%
Edge
-12.1%
Consensus of 20 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
15:15 UTC
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
RC Celta de Vigo
Likely 1â1 · xG 1.38â1.08
Home win · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Model
43.2%
Bookie
39.8%
Edge
+3.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.8%)
13:00 UTC
Getafe CF
Sevilla
Likely 1â1 · xG 1.08â0.94
Home win · Getafe CF
Model
37.7%
Bookie
30.2%
Edge
+7.5%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
17:30 UTC
Elche CF
Valencia CF
Likely 1â1 · xG 1.47â1.21
Home win · Elche CF
Model
42.8%
Bookie
40.5%
Edge
+2.4%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.0%)
20:00 UTC
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Likely 1â1 · xG 1.59â1.04
Home win · Athletic Club
Model
49.8%
Bookie
45.1%
Edge
+4.7%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 5.9%)
20:00 UTC
RC Deportivo La Coruña
CA Osasuna
Likely 1â1 · xG 1.48â1.09
Home win · RC Deportivo La Coruña
Model
45.6%
Bookie
43.9%
Edge
+1.7%
Consensus of 21 bookmakers, margin removed (avg overround 6.4%)
| 10 |
| 6 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 16 |
| 14 |
| +2 |
| 20 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 19 |
|---|
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
|---|
| 7 | Deportivo Alavés | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 |
|---|
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 |
|---|
| 9 | RC Celta de Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 12 |
|---|
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 12 |
|---|
| 11 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
|---|
| 12 | CA Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
|---|
| 13 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 11 |
|---|
| 14 | Levante UD | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 10 |
|---|
| 15 | Elche CF | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
|---|
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 |
|---|
| 17 | Getafe CF | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 9 |
|---|
| 18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
|---|
| 19 | Valencia CF | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
|---|
| 20 | MĂĄlaga CF | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 5 |
|---|